Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 90.755170 101.028777 111.628543 123.355691 135.940279 149.013739 163.595645
2025-03-23 74.759749 89.977657 106.525525 125.739734 147.318349 170.689848 197.800472
2025-03-30 62.052815 80.505046 101.586647 127.160406 157.046792 190.580040 230.753378
2025-04-06 51.266349 71.602086 95.967158 126.750194 164.035127 207.182357 260.316165
2025-04-13 43.062379 64.583337 91.554586 126.921250 171.142599 223.706336 289.966715
2025-04-20 37.973297 60.747627 90.453487 130.675402 182.331172 245.101119 325.736975
2025-04-27 33.433708 56.977619 88.891088 133.419183 192.023163 264.662225 359.550982
2025-05-04 30.072550 54.365744 88.476410 137.364993 203.103401 285.989834 395.817082
2025-05-11 26.815920 51.451602 87.273203 139.965320 212.277434 304.922671 429.308172
2025-05-18 21.812901 45.163423 80.637155 134.500266 210.245833 309.137275 443.960632
2025-05-25 18.325187 40.792466 76.345319 131.902254 211.739050 317.701282 464.086598
2025-06-01 15.875163 37.814081 73.851863 131.629964 216.248432 330.165677 489.329294
2025-06-08 13.968987 35.587256 72.412824 132.911639 223.099605 346.119290 519.786128
2025-06-15 13.004713 34.994993 73.559227 138.136746 235.732012 370.197531 561.515047
2025-06-22 11.756522 33.661559 73.340780 141.187782 245.249452 390.168852 598.080215
2025-06-29 10.239014 31.525807 71.545110 141.598070 250.813905 404.707129 627.496009
2025-07-06 8.947635 29.641749 69.998463 142.257960 256.676090 419.687706 657.672466
2025-07-13 8.280825 29.052292 70.716445 146.599575 268.151294 442.740420 699.204723
2025-07-20 7.532922 28.138128 70.736736 149.729798 277.796832 463.299350 737.530769
2025-07-27 6.998044 27.652329 71.504609 154.099868 289.397414 486.782533 780.153155
2025-08-03 6.356859 26.772757 71.423416 156.971035 298.683347 507.028293 818.477074
2025-08-10 4.989560 23.592262 66.464563 151.061339 293.893044 506.629252 827.719608
2025-08-17 4.083951 21.458398 63.391304 148.251522 293.846452 513.058400 846.567423